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NCR COVID growth rate at -7%, steady dip in cases seen –OCTA fellow

By ANNA FELICIA BAJO,GMA News

OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David said Thursday that the COVID-19 growth rate in the National Capital Region is now at negative 7%, adding that a continuous decline in new cases in the region is expected.

In a tweet, David noted that from November 11 to 17, Metro Manila had an average of 379 daily new cases, which is lower compared to the 407 recorded from November 4 to 10, resulting in a growth rate of negative 7%.

Likewise, he said the reproductive number in the region

was 0.5 as of November 14 while the testing positivity rate from November 10 to 16 was 3%, adding that the positivity rate is projected to improve to 2% this week.

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"With such a low positivity rate, we project the NCR will continue to have a decline in new cases, with a target 7-day average of 200 new cases by end of November," David said.

"However, we must continue to adhere to minimum public health standards," he added.

David earlier said the COVID-19 situation in NCR is already "close to plateauing" as no significant threat has been monitored.

Further, David noted that COVID-19 cases the entire Philippines is on a downward trend.

On Wednesday, the Department of Health recorded 1,190 new COVID-19 cases and 2,759 new recoveries, bringing down the active infections in the country to 23,846. —LBG, GMA News