OCTA: All NCR LGUs now at moderate risk; reproduction number at 0.60

All 17 cities in the National Capital Region (NCR) are now at moderate risk for COVID-19 as the region’s reproduction number further decreased to 0.60, OCTA Research said Thursday.

“The NCR and all seventeen constituent LGUs were classified as moderate risk using our metrics,” the group said in its latest report.

Meanwhile, the seven-day average in new cases in the region dropped to 1,847 or 30% lower than the previous week's number.

The positivity rate, on the other hand, was recorded at 11% while the healthcare utilization rate went down to 79%. NCR also has an average daily attack rate of 13.05 per 100,000.

Based on OCTA's report, San Juan recorded the highest average daily attack rate (ADAR) with 28.68, followed by Mandaluyong with 21.25, Pateros with 20.23, Taguig with 20.05, and Marikina with 19.23.

Meanwhile, cities with the highest ICU utilization rates are Marikina at 100%, Muntinlupa at 85%, Makati at 81%, Las Piñas at 79%, and Quezon City at 73%.

NCR will be placed under Alert Level 3 starting October 16 until October 31.

Under Alert Level 3, several establishments will be allowed to operate at 30% indoor venue capacity only for fully vaccinated individuals and 50% outdoor venue capacity, provided that all employees are fully vaccinated.

OCTA fellow Dr. Guido David previously said that the wave of the more contagious Delta coronavirus variant in the NCR has started to ebb.

The Philippines has a total of 2,690,455 confirmed COVID-19 cases as of Wednesday, of which 82,411 are active. —KBK, GMA News