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OCTA: NCR COVID-19 positivity rate trending downward


The COVID-19 positivity rate in the National Capital Region (NCR) has gone down to 16.1% as of August 14, the independent group OCTA research said on Tuesday.

In a tweet, OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David said the NCR’s positivity rate has decreased from 17.3% as of August 7, to 16.1% as if August 14.

The positivity rate refers to the percentage of people who were found positive for COVID-19 among the total number of individuals tested.

David said the COVID-19 reproduction number in the region also decreased to 1.13 as of August 12 from 1.19 on August 5. 

Reproduction rate refers to the number of people infected by one case. A reproduction number that is below 1 indicates that the transmission of the virus is slowing down.

According to the OCTA fellow, the one week growth rate of cases in the region also decreased to -7%.

Meanwhile, the region’s healthcare utilization was at 37% while the intensive care units (ICU) occupancy for COVID was 32% as of August 14.

“While cases may have already peaked in the NCR, the trends will need to hold, as trends are still reversible. The risk level in the NCR remains moderate,” David said.

The Department of Health (DOH) said “all island groups on a plateau” for COVID-19 based on the infographic released on Tuesday.

It, however, did not elaborate the said infographic.

The Health department also reported that the number of severe and critical admissions at the national level remain less than 1,000 cases.

The department said that a continued slow increase has been observed since early July 2022. —NB, GMA News