Signal No. 3 was raised over the National Capital Region (NCR) and nine other areas as Severe Tropical Storm Paeng maintained its strength while moving across the northern portion of Marinduque, PAGASA said Saturday.
In its 11 a.m. bulletin, PAGASA said the following areas were under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) No. 3:
- Metro Manila
- the northern and central portions of Quezon (Pitogo, San Andres, Buenavista, Lucena City, San Francisco, Pagbilao, Infanta, Tiaong, Lopez, Catanauan, Mulanay, Unisan, General Luna, Plaridel, Quezon, San Antonio, Alabat, Candelaria, Lucban, Sampaloc, Padre Burgos, Sariaya, City of Tayabas, Macalelon, Mauban, Dolores, General Nakar, Perez, Agdangan, Gumaca, Atimonan, Real, San Narciso, Guinayangan, Calauag) including Pollilo Islands
- the southern portion of Zambales (Olongapo City, Subic, Castillejos, San Antonio)
- Lubang Islands
Under Signal Number 3, winds of greater than 89 km/h up to 117 km/h may be expected in at least 18 hours.
Signal No. 2, where winds of greater than 62 km/h and up to 88 km/h may be expected in at least next t 24 hours, was meanwhile expected in the following areas:
- The northwestern portion of Sorsogon (Pilar, Donsol)
- the western portion of Masbate (Aroroy, Baleno, Mandaon including Burias Island
- Camarines Sur
- Camarines Norte
- Oriental Mindoro
- Occidental Mindoro
- the rest of Quezon
- Nueva Ecija
- the southern portion of Aurora (San Luis, Baler, Dingalan, Maria Aurora), Bulacan, Pampanga, Tarlac, and the rest of Zambales
- The northwestern portion of Antique (Libertad, Pandan, Caluya Islands)
- the western portion of Aklan (Buruanga, Malay, Nabas, Ibajay, Tangalan, Makato, Numancia, Lezo)
Signal No. 1, where winds of 39-61 km/h may be expected in at least 36 hours or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours, was raised over the following areas:
- Nueva Vizcaya
- Mountain Province
- Ilocos Sur
- La Union
- the rest of Aurora
- the rest of Sorsogon
- the rest of Masbate including Ticao Island
- the northern portion of Palawan (El Nido, Taytay, Dumaran, Araceli, Roxas, San Vicente) including Calamian and Cuyo Islands
- Northern Samar
- Eastern Samar
- Southern Leyte
- Cebu including Bantayan and Camotes Islands
- Negros Occidental
- Negros Oriental
- the rest of Aklan
- the rest of Antique
Thus, heavy to intense with at times torrential rains will be likely over Metro Manila, CALABARZON, Bicol Region, Marinduque, Romblon, Mindoro Provinces, and the northern portion of Palawan including Calamian and Cuyo Islands.
Mainland Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Western Visayas, and Central Luzon will likely have moderate to heavy with at times intense rains, while the rest of Luzon and the Visayas will have light to moderate with at times heavy rains.
Further, the surge of the Northeast Monsoon enhanced by Paeng will also bring strong winds with gusts reaching gale-force strength over Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, the northern and eastern portions of mainland Cagayan, and the northern portion of Apayao.
PAGASA said a minimal to moderate risk of storm surge of up to 2.0 meters in height may cause inundation or flooding in the low-lying and exposed coastal areas of western Pangasinan, Zambales, Bataan, southern Aurora, Quezon including Polillo Islands, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Cavite, Batangas, Marinduque, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, and Albay.
Hazards on coastal waters
A marine gale warning remains in effect over the seaboards of Luzon and Visayas and the eastern seaboard of Mindanao under the influence of the surge of the Northeast Monsoon and Severe Tropical Storm Paeng
Track and intensity outlook
PAGASA said Severe Tropical Storm Paeng is forecast to track westward in the short term before moving west northwestward through Sunday across Luzon.
Based on the forecast track, the center of PAENG will make landfall in the vicinity of southeastern portion of Batangas before traversing the Cavite-Metro Manila-Bataan Peninsula area for the remainder of the day. However, southward shift in the forecast track of PAENG is possible in succeeding bulletins.
PAGASA added that Paeng may weaken into a tropical storm while moving over the Luzon landmass due to frictional effects. However, Paeng may re-intensify into a severe tropical storm once it reaches the West Philippine Sea.
The center of Severe Tropical Storm Paeng was estimated based on all available data including those from Tagaytay Doppler Weather Radar in the vicinity of Mogpog, Marinduque (13.5 °N, 121.9 °E )
It is moving west southwestward at 25 km/h, with maximum sustained winds of 95 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 130 km/h. —LBG, GMA News