PAGASA: LPA outside PAR has medium chance of becoming cyclone in 24 hours

The low pressure area (LPA) outside the Philippine area of responsibility (LPA) has a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours, the state weather bureau said Friday morning. 

“As of 8:00 a.m. today, 31 October 2025, a low pressure area (LPA 10i) is being monitored outside the PAR and has a medium chance to develop into a tropical depression within the next 24 hours,” PAGASA said.

“All are advised to monitor updates from DOST-PAGASA,” it added.

The LPA was last located 1,715 kilometers east of southeastern Mindanao, according to PAGASA.

On Wednesday, PAGASA weather specialist Joey Figuracion said three to five tropical cyclones are expected to develop or enter the PAR until December this year.

Figuracion noted that La Niña conditions are still present in the Tropical Pacific and that there is a 77% chance of La Niña forming from October to December this year.

He added that this is likely to persist through December until February 2026.

La Niña is characterized by unusually cooler than average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific. It is usually associated with above-normal rainfall conditions.

Near to above normal rainfall conditions are expected in most parts of the country from November to December 2025, according to the weather specialist.—AOL, GMA Integrated News