Poe remains top presidential bet in new Pulse Asia poll

Published September 28, 2015 10:56am

(Updated 1:39 p.m.) Senator Grace Poe has topped another Pulse Asia presidential preference survey.

The poll results released Monday, conducted from September 8 to 14, showed Poe is preferred by 26 percent of the respondents.

Pulse Asia said former Interior Secretary Mar Roxas, Vice President Jejomar Binay and Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte are all "sharing second place."

Roxas had 20 percent, Binay had 19 percent while 16 percent went with Duterte.

Unlike previous presidential preference surveys that the poll agency conducted, the latest Pulse Asia survey had 2,400 respondents. It had a ±2 error margin at the 95 percent confidence level nationwide.

MR1 - UB2015-3 MR on May 2016 Elections (Final)

Pulse Asia's two previous nationwide presidential preference surveys both had 1,200 respondents and both had an error margin of ±3 at the 95 percent confidence level.

In June, Poe pulled ahead of Binay with 30 percent, eight points higher than the Vice President's 22 percent. Duterte was in third place with 15 percent followed by Roxas and incumbent Manila Mayor Joseph Estrada with 10 percent each.

In a following survey -- commissioned by ABS-CBN and conducted from August 27 to September 3 -- Poe garnered 27 percentage points, with Binay and Roxas behind her with 21 and 18 percentage points, respectively.

All three surveys were conducted before Poe announced her intention to run for president last September 16. The two most recent polls, meanwhile, were carried out after President Benigno Aquino III anointed Roxas as his preferred successor for 2016.

The other key events, related to the four politicians, that happened during the same period of the latest poll include:

the convening of the Supreme Court as the Presidential Electoral Tribunal to resolve pending cases including the electoral protest of Roxas against Binay
the filing of the disqualification case against Poe before the Senate Electoral Tribunal
the announcement of Duterte on September 7 that he is not running for president in 2016
Binay's "True State of the Nation Address"
the gathering of Iglesia ni Cristo members on EDSA
the Senate blue ribbon committee's issuance of arrest warrants against 11 individuals for failure to attend hearings on corruption allegations against Binay

Pulse Asia said that the leading choices for president in Metro Manila are Poe with 26 percent, Binay with 22 percent and Duterte with 21 percent and the top choice in the rest of Luzon (Balance Luzon) was Poe with 31 percent.

Roxas got 18 percent in Balance Luzon while Binay got 21 percent and Duterte got 8 percent.

Roxas, meanwhile, is the top choice for president in the Visayas with 34 percent.

Poe was chosen by 20 percent in the Visayas while Binay got 16 percent and Duterte got 14 percent.

The survey firm added that Mindanaoans are "most supportive" of Duterte, who got 29 percent.

Poe got 20 percent in Mindanao while Roxas got 15 percent and Binay got 17 percent.

Pulse Asia said subnational estimates for each of the geographic areas have a ±4 error margin, also at 95 percent confidence level.

VP race

Meanwhile, the latest Pulse Asia survey showed Poe also topping the vice presidential preferences with 24 percent, though only one point ahead of her 2016 running mate Senator Francis Escudero.

Pulse Asia said Poe and Escudero are "statistically tied" for first place.

A day after she declared her presidential run, Poe introduced Escudero as her running mate.

Senators Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and Alan Peter Cayetano followed with 13 and 9 percent, respectively.

There are reports that Marcos is being wooed by Binay to be his running mate while Cayetano is being considered as Roxas' running mate. —Rose-An Jessica Dioquino/ALG/RSJ, GMA News

Tags: eleksyon2016, pulseasia, gracepoe, jejomarbinay, marroxas