PAGASA: 3 to 5 cyclones expected in PAR until December 2025

Three to five tropical cyclones are expected to develop or enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) until December this year, the state weather bureau said on Wednesday.

“Three to five tropical cyclones ang ating inaasahan sa nalalabing months po ng 2025 (We expect three to five tropical cyclones in the remaining months of 2025),” said Joey Figuracion, weather specialist of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration.

In a virtual climate forum, Figuracion noted that La Niña conditions are still present in the Tropical Pacific and that there is a 77% chance of La Niña forming from October to December this year.

He added that this is likely to persist through December until February 2026.

La Niña is characterized by unusually cooler than average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific. It is usually associated with above-normal rainfall conditions.

Figuracion added that near to above normal rainfall conditions are expected in most parts of the country from November to December 2025. — JMA, GMA Integrated News