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#Throwback2014: Events that helped shape the PHL economy
By DANESSA O. RIVERA, GMA News
Events that helped shape the economy this year ranged from the politically-colored Development Acceleration Program to a Manila City ordinance that helped worsen cargo congestion in the ports of Manila, to the US Fed move that ended a regime of easy money for fund managers. Here's how they impacted on Philippine financial markets and the economy in general.
SC: Certain DAP acts unconstitutional
SC: Certain DAP acts unconstitutional
In a decision on July 1, the Supreme Court (SC) struck certain acts under the Aquino administration's Disbursement Acceleration Program (DAP) as unconstitutional. DAP is a reform intervention that uses savings and unprogrammed funds to speed-up public spending.
“The SC decision is crucial because it meant that the approach to accelerate [government] spending was not going to be effective,” Bank of the Philippine Islands lead economist Emilio Neri Jr. said.
The adverse effect of the decision was one of the reasons the Aquino administration cited for the economic slowdown to 5.3 percent in output terms during the third quarter.

Manila port congestion
In February, the City of Manila imposed a daytime truck ban to ease traffic. Instead, the ban constricted the flow of cargo to and from the ports of Manila.
It pushed inflation to 4.9 percent in July, the highest in nearly three years, and had a "chilling effect" that slowed consumer spending and weighed on Philippine output, Socioeconomic Secretary Arsenio Balisacan said.
It pushed inflation to 4.9 percent in July, the highest in nearly three years, and had a "chilling effect" that slowed consumer spending and weighed on Philippine output, Socioeconomic Secretary Arsenio Balisacan said.
The truck ban may have actually pried opened a can of worms hounding the main seaports. It led to several investigations and the drafting of mid- and long-term solutions, Ateneo de Manila University Economics professor Alvin Ang said.
The Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry (PCCI), the main business organization in the country, said it pointed out a decade ago a port congestion waiting to happen with the expected economic boom.
The City of Manila eventually gave in and lifted the daytime truck ban mid-September as the national government, truckers, port operators and business groups blamed the city-wide ordinance for the port congestion.
Upgrades from S&P, Moody's
This year the Philippines garnered two credit rating upgrades from global debt watchers.
In May, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services raised its long-term sovereign credit ratings a notch above investment grade.
Earlier this month, the Philippines secured another upgrade from Moody’s Investors Service.
The upgrades were positive developments in attracting foreign investments, Philippine Stock Exchange president Hans Sicat said. "I think the good news for the Philippines is that we are getting, perhaps, a relatively good look from investors since we stack up extremely well against our ASEAN counterparts," he said.
WEF in Manila
The Philippines was on a roll in terms of reforms, economic growth and improvement in competitiveness, WEF senior director and head of Asia Sushant Palakurthi Rao had said, citing the reason why the World Economic Forum (WEF) chose to hold its East Asia meetings in the country from May 21 to 23.
The global forum was attended by heads of governments, policy makers, foreign investors, business groups and civil society representatives, giving the Philippines a window of opportunity to showcase the country's gains, attract investments and tackle global issues like climate change and food security.
Hosting a global meeting like WEF for the first time was definitely a positive push for the Philippines, DA Market Securities Inc. president Nestor Aguila said.
"In the past, we were trying to bring in investors, it was very difficult. But now they're coming in. And that's very positive for everyone, the government, the private sector, the average investors," he said.
Global rankings
This is the year when the Philippines also garnered several recognitions in the global arena.
First off, the Philippines gained eight notches to 64 from 72 in terms of overall ranking in the WEF's Enabling Trade index released in April.
In its latest Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) revealed in September, WEF said the Philippines is the "most improved country overall" in terms of global competitiveness in the last four years, climbing 33 notches since 2010 to 52nd.
In "Doing Business 2015: Going Beyond Efficiency," another report released in October, the World Bank group said the Philippines climbed 13 notches to 95 from 108 last year.
The World Bank's 2013 Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) report also showed the Philippine rankings in four out of six indicators improved.
These are all welcome developments, National Competitiveness Council co-chair Guillermo Luz noted. He said it is now time to work harder and sustain an upward climb in global rankings.
Working harder means the Philippines must address issues surrounding infrastructure, mainly in airports, ports and power, health and primary education.
Interest rates
In July, as the outlook on consumer prices tilted toward the upside, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas decided to raise policy rates by 25 basis points from record lows. Another 25 basis points were added in September.
Security Bank Corp. economist Patrick Ella said the decision was a pre-emptive move to address short-term inflation pressures coming from higher food prices, short-term volatility in international oil prices, and pending petitions for adjustments in power rates and transport fares at that time.
In November, inflation decelerated to its slowest pace of 3.7 percent in 2014, bringing the year-to-date average to 4.3 percent – still on the upper end of government's 3 to 5 percent target.
US Fed ends bond buying program
Before 2013 ended, the Federal Reserve announced it will start tapering its massive $85-billion monthly bond purchases, also known as quantitative easing. The gradual tapering started in January, 2014.
The quantitative easing was officially closed in October, keeping fund managers and investors on the edge – knowing the next step would be for the US to raise interest rates.
This may lead to capital flight from emerging Asia to quality US assets as the Fed is expected to raise rates in 2015, as fund managers scout for higher yields, Metropolitan Bank & Trust Company research head Ildemarc Bautista said. – VS, GMA News
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