PAGASA says 16 to 19 tropical cyclones may hit PH this 2025

An official from state weather bureau PAGASA said Monday that the country may experience 16 to 19 tropical cyclones this year.

''Bagyo, so inaasahan po natin, six to thirteen na bagyo mula March hanggang August. At kung titingnan po natin kung buong taon, mga around 16 to 19 po iyong pini-predict nating bilang ng bagyo ngayong taon which is below average po kung titingnan natin,'' PAGASA spokesperson Analiza Solis said at a Palace press briefing.

(When it comes to tropical cyclones, we are expecting six to 13 tropical cyclones from March to August and if we will look at the entire year, it could be around 16 to 19 tropical cyclones, which is below average.)

This number of tropical cyclones for 2025 could be attributed to the ''climatological normal," or the normal values of selected elements like rainfall, temperature (maximum, minimum and mean) and wind.

''Ang tinitingnan po natin is iyong based on climatological normal o average dahil sa ngayon po ay mayroong La Niña alert pero patungo po tayo sa ENSO-neutral condition,'' Solis said.

(We are looking at the climatological normal or average because we also have a La Niña alert and we are gearing towards the ENSO-neutral condition.)

Solis, meanwhile, warned that the country could also experience a higher heat index, with higher temperatures seen in the last days of April or the first week of May.

''Despite niyan, possible din na magkakaroon tayo ng mga matataas na heat index, mga puwedeng pumalo ng 48, 50 and iyong ating temperature na maximum daytime ay pini-predict natin na posibleng mas mataas pagdating po ng katapusan ng April or iyong first week ng May. So, doon tayo nakakaranas ng medyo mas maiinit ang temperature natin, mga around 39.6 or 39.8,'' she said.

(Despite that, it's possible that we'll have a higher heat index, it can reach 48, 50 and our temperature could be higher in the last days of April or first week of May. It could be around 39.6 or 39.8)

A heat index from 33°C to 41°C is under the “extreme caution” category, where heat cramps and heat exhaustion are possible, and continuing activity could lead to heat stroke. — RSJ, GMA Integrated News