LPA inside PAR now has ‘high’ chance of becoming TD

The low pressure area (LPA) inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) has a high chance of developing into a tropical depression within the next 24 hours, according to state weather bureau PAGASA. 

As of 11 a.m., the LPA was monitored 275 kilometers east of Infanta, Quezon. 

Meanwhile, PAGASA said another LPA inside PAR is “unlikely” to develop into a tropical depression in the next 24 hours. It was last spotted 655 km west of Calapan, Oriental Mindoro, said PAGASA. 

In an earlier weather forecast, PAGASA said that some areas in the country will experience rainfall due to the effects of the LPA, Easterlies, the Southwest Monsoon, and localized thunderstorms.

The Bicol Region, Central Visayas, Eastern Visayas, Aurora, Quezon, Rizal, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Quirino, and Nueva Vizcaya will have cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms due to the LPA.

As a result of the trough of LPA, Metro Manila, MIMAROPA, the rest of Central Luzon, rest of CALABARZON, and the rest of Visayas will experience cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms.

The rest of Cagayan Valley will see cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms brought by the easterlies.

The same weather system, the easterlies, will bring partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms to the Ilocos Region and the Cordillera Administrative Region.

Meanwhile, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, BARMM, and SOCCSKSARGEN will have cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms as a result of the Southwest Monsoon.

The rest of Mindanao will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms due to localized thunderstorms. 

PAGASA has also raised a La Niña alert, which signifies an above-average number of tropical cyclone occurrences towards the end of the year.

According to PAGASA's climate monitoring and analyses, there is a 70% chance of La Niña forming in October until December this year and is likely to persist until February 2026. —Vince Angelo Ferreras/ VAL, GMA Integrated News