34 party-list groups have chance to win House seat in Eleksyon 2024 —Pulse Asia

At least 34 party-list groups have statistical chance to win at least one seat in the House of Representatives in the Eleksyon 2025, according to the result of a latest Pulse Asia survey.

The Pulse Asia poll, conducted last April 20 to 24, showed five party-list groups have a chance of winning three seats, the maximum number of seats a group can win. However, only the top party-list group can secure three seats.

Duterte Youth scored 5.57%, a significant jump from its previous rating of 4.74%.

Other party-list in contention for three seats include:

• Agimat (5.52%)
• ACT-CIS (5.17%)
• 4Ps (4.85%), and
• Senior Citizens (4.55%).

On the other hand, the following are the seven party-list groups likely to get two seats:

• Tingog (3.63%)
• Uswag Ilonggo (2.48%)
• PPP (2.38%)
• Nanay (2.28%)
• Ako Bicol (2.20%)
• Asenso Pinoy (2.19%) and
• AKO Bisaya (2.08%).

Under the party-list law, the Supreme Court decisions on computation of party-list seats and the Philippine Constitution, a party-list group needs to secure at least 2% of the votes cast in the party-list race to win at least one seat in the House of Representatives.

An additional seat will be granted to a party-list which will be able to secure more than 2% of the votes cast proportional to the additional percentage it got, but the maximum number of seats is only three.

There are 63 seats available for party-list representatives or 20% of the members of the House. If all those who got the 2% and above votes are not able to fill in all the 63 seats, the next-in-line groups with the closest vote share to 2% will get to secure one seat until all party-list seats are filled.

As such, other probable winners of at least one House seat include:

• 4K (1.95%)
• Rider Party-List (1.89%)
• COOP-NATCCO (1.88%)
• Malasakit@Bayanihan (1.74%)
• FPJ Panday Bayanihan (1.67%)
• Bicol Saro (1.67%)
• AGAP (1.64%)
• United Senior Citizens (1.51%)
• GP (Galing sa Puso) (1.43%)
• One COOP (1.35%)
• Solid North Party (1.25%)
• Kalinga (1.21%)
• Trabaho (1.15%)
• Abang Lingkod (1.11%)
• Damayang Filipino (1.04%)
• Magsasaka (1.02%)
• Swerte (0.99%)
• TUPAD (0.98%)
• CIBAC (0.98%)
• Batang Quiapo (0.97%)
• TODA Aksyon (0.97%)
• TGP (0.92%)
• OFW (0.87%)
• Ang Probinsiyano (0.82%)
• ALONA (0.81%)
• Ahon Mahirap (0.80%)
• BHW (0.80%)
• CWS (0.77%)
• ACT Teachers (0.74%)
• ANGAT (0.73%)
• Kabataan (0.65%)
• Apat-Dapat (0.65%)
• Abamin (0.64%)
• Babae Ako (0.62%)
• API PARTY (0.58%)
• LPGMA (0.56%)
• AKO ILOCANO AKO (0.55%) and
• 1PACMAN (0.54%)

Here is the complete list:

The Pulse Asia poll was conducted using face-to-face  interviews of 2,400 respondents aged 18 years  old and above. It has a ± 2% error margin at the 95% confidence level.

Subnational estimates for each of the geographic areas covered in the survey (i.e., Metro Manila, the rest of Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao) have a ± 6% error margin for Metro Manila, ± 3% for the rest of Luzon, ± 4% for  both Vsayas and Mindanao, also at 95% confidence level.—AOL, GMA Integrated News

For more Eleksyon 2025 related content and updates, visit GMA News Online's Eleksyon 2025 microsite.